
That "Nokia" in your phone is no longer the Nokia of the past.
The current $Nokia(NOK.US) no longer sells phones; it's an "AI network infrastructure company." If you haven't been following this, today's 16-year high will be hard to understand.
What Happened This Week
On April 23, Nokia released its Q1 2026 earnings report, with both revenue and profit beating expectations. The stock price surged to a 16-year high, rising over 25% in a week. As early as April 20, Bank of America upgraded its rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the target price from $7.96 to $12.40 in one go. The stock price rose from $8.04 at the end of March to $10.60 on April 20.
Why This is a "Re-rating" and Not Just a Short-Term Spike
The two most explosive points in the earnings data:
First, AI and cloud-driven network infrastructure orders grew by +49%, with €1 billion in new orders for the quarter. This growth rate isn't a "+49% from AI concept stock storytelling"; it's real, landed orders.
Second, management raised the full-year growth guidance for the network business from 6–8% to 12–14%, with gross margins pulled up to 45.5%. Doubling guidance within six months is rare for a large company.
What is Nokia Actually Doing Now?
The Nokia in your phone is a thing of the past (the mobile phone business was sold to Microsoft in 2014). Today's Nokia has four business segments:
- Mobile Networks (traditional 5G/6G base stations) – still operating, but not the growth driver;
- Network Infrastructure – this is the current engine, selling core routers and optical switches to telecom operators and cloud providers;
- Cloud and Network Services – building software networks, cybersecurity, and edge cloud for enterprises;
- Nokia Technologies – patent licensing, with very valuable patents (underlying 5G/6G patents).
What truly gave it a "new life" is the second segment – after acquiring Infinera (a US optical networking company), Nokia suddenly filled the gap in high-speed optical transmission. The interconnection between AI data centers, the backbone networks of hyperscale cloud providers, and undersea cables – all these businesses require Nokia's optical switches.
What's the Relationship Between AI and Nokia?
Many people don't understand: "Isn't AI about NVDA?" Yes, but AI chips need to be connected via networks, and data centers need to be connected to each other. The "pipes" for these connections are what Nokia is selling. The larger the AI models and the more data centers, the more explosive the demand for optical network capacity.
Nokia is also proactively increasing its bets – collaborating with Orange (a European telecom giant) and Nvidia on AI-RAN (Artificial Intelligence + Radio Access Network), deploying AI computing power to the base station side. This is capturing the next wave of benefits from "AI moving from the cloud to the edge."
How to View This Stock
The bull case is very clear – from $8 to $10.60, being re-rated from an "old European telecom stock" to an "AI network infrastructure stock." BofA's $12.40 target price implies roughly 17% more upside. The dividend history is stable, and valuation isn't expensive yet (relative to the growth re-rating logic).
The cautious case – it's already up over 30%, a short-term pullback is inevitable. European macro and exchange rate volatility will be headwinds. No one knows where the peak demand for AI infrastructure is.
I think the moderate approach is more reasonable – if you don't have a position, don't chase $10.60; wait for a pullback to $9.80–10.00 before considering. If you already got in at $8, hold on and take profits in stages. Nokia is genuinely transforming in this round, but the capital market will give the valuation some time to digest.
A final reminder: Many Chinese investors buying NOK are doing so out of "nostalgia" (missing Nokia phones), which is a completely wrong starting point. This stock is rising because of its new story in "network infrastructure + AI optical transmission," and has nothing to do with 1100.
The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.
The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not reflect the stance of the platform. The content is intended for investment reference purposes only and shall not be considered as investment advice. Please contact us if you have any questions or suggestions regarding the content services provided by the platform.
