Walter Bloomberg
2025.09.03 16:34

DON’T FEAR SEPTEMBER OR RECORD HIGHS: UBS

The S&P 500 dipped 0.7% to start September, historically the weakest month for stocks. UBS noted the index has fallen in six of the past 10 Septembers, averaging a 2% decline. Still, the bank advises investors not to fear seasonal weakness or record highs.

UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 6,800 by mid-2026, supported by:

1. Strong earnings momentum (81% beat Q2 estimates).

2. Anticipated Fed rate cuts of 100 bps over the next four meetings.

3. Long-term AI-driven growth, with global AI capex projected at $500B by 2026.

Since 1960, the S&P has delivered 12% returns on average in the year after an all-time high, and 38% over three years.

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