Amazon's stock fell 4.1% despite reporting strong Q4 results, with earnings per share of $1.86 and revenue of $187.79 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations. However, the company's weaker-than-expected Q1 guidance, projecting revenue between $151 billion and $155.5 billion, led to investor sell-off. Amazon plans a $100 billion investment in cloud infrastructure, AI, and robotics, which may impact short-term profitability but is expected to strengthen long-term growth prospects. The current dip may present a buying opportunity for investors.

Why Amazon Stock Is Sinking Today

U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated significantly on the day the non-farm payroll report was released. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by 5.04 basis points to 4.4846%, but quickly fell to 4.3803% at the time of the report's release. The 2-year Treasury yield increased by 6.07 basis points to 4.2725%, with a cumulative increase of 7.75 basis points for the week. Yields on other maturities also generally rose, while the 2/10 year Treasury yield spread decreased by 1.042 basis points

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield rose more than 7 basis points on non-farm payroll day, with a cumulative increase of nearly 8 basis points this week

On Friday, renowned hedge fund manager Bill Ackman revealed that his fund, Pershing Square, has built a position of 30.3 million shares of Uber stock since January, with a market value of $2.3 billion. He believes that Uber is well-managed and that its stock price is still significantly below its intrinsic value, which is extremely rare among large-cap stocks. Ackman praised Uber CEO for transforming the company into a highly profitable, high cash flow enterprise. Following this news, Uber's stock price rose more than 9% at one point on Friday. Since 2025, the stock price has rebounded approximately 25%

Hedge fund mogul Ackman significantly increased his stake in Uber, with a holding value of $2.3 billion, calling it "high quality and low price."

Alibaba's stock surged over 7% on Friday before settling at a 4.1% gain, driven by rumors of its investment in AI company DeepSeek. Despite reports of Alibaba planning to invest $1 billion in DeepSeek, the company denied these claims, labeling them as fake news. Investors are left questioning the stock's value, but with a valuation of 20 times earnings and projected long-term growth of 18.5%, owning Alibaba may still be a viable option.

Why Alibaba Stock Spiked on Friday

Federal Reserve Governor Kugler: The GDP growth rate in the United States is expected to be robust in the first quarter of 2025

Cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin, saw price increases today following a mixed jobs report that influenced Treasury yields. Ethereum rose 3.5%, XRP increased by 8.6%, and Dogecoin gained nearly 5%. The jobs report indicated 143,000 new jobs added, below expectations, but a lower unemployment rate and higher wage growth suggested a robust labor market. Despite the positive crypto reaction, analysts remain cautious about the economic outlook and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. The CBOE Exchange has also filed for spot crypto ETF applications for XRP, indicating growing interest in the market.

Why Cryptocurrencies Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin Are Trading Higher Today

SoftBank plans to invest $40 billion in OpenAI, to be paid in installments over the next 12 to 24 months, with an expected post-investment valuation of $300 billion. This makes SoftBank the largest investor in OpenAI, surpassing Microsoft, and opens a $10 billion quota through a joint investment format. Part of the funds will be used for the "Stargate" project, a collaboration between SoftBank, OpenAI, and Oracle, aimed at investing in U.S. AI infrastructure

Report: SoftBank will invest $40 billion, becoming the largest investor in OpenAI

Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee (with FOMC voting rights in 2025): I do not believe the Federal Reserve will play a role in President Trump's proposed sovereign fund plan

Federal Reserve official Goolsbee stated that the U.S. January non-farm payroll report is solid, indicating full employment, and wage growth is consistent with the 2% inflation target. Long-term inflation expectations are anchored, but Trump’s tariffs may distort supply chains, causing temporary inflationary shocks, and countermeasures will complicate their effects

Federal Reserve officials cool down "one-year inflation expectations rebounding to 4.3%": long-term inflation expectations remain anchored

President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Goolsbee (with FOMC voting rights in 2025): We may keep the policy interest rate unchanged

Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: The U.S. January non-farm payroll report is "solid."

Spot gold reached a historic high on non-farm payroll day, rising over 0.9% intraday, breaking through the February 5 peak of $2882.36 per ounce, closing at $2883.16. COMEX gold futures saw an intraday increase of 1.0%, closing at $2905.40 per ounce, also surpassing the February 5 peak of $2906.00. Spot silver had an intraday increase of 1.0%, closing at $32.55 per ounce

Gold prices hit a record high on non-farm payroll day, and U.S. one-year inflation expectations reached a 15-month high

The number of new jobs added in December was significantly revised up from 256,000 to 307,000. The wildfires in Los Angeles and severe winter weather in other parts of the United States had "no significant impact" on employment during the month. Regarding the annual revision that the market is concerned about, the number of jobs added over the 12 months ending in March 2024 was 589,000 less than initially reported, a decrease lower than the preliminary estimate of 818,000 in August of last year. Last month, the labor force increased by 2.2 million, the largest since data has been available in 1948, with most coming from foreign-born workers

In January, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 143,000, significantly lower than expected, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4%, with the annual revision lower than anticipated

White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett: The downward revision of non-farm payrolls indicates that President Trump's administration has a lot of work to do

The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index fell to a seven-month low due to concerns over tariff policies, dropping to 67.8 in early February, a decrease of 3.3 points from the previous month. Consumers' expectations for short-term inflation have risen, with prices expected to increase at an annual growth rate of 4.3% over the next year. This data led to a decline in the three major U.S. stock indices, and consumers' willingness to purchase high-priced goods decreased by 12 percentage points. The overall decline in consumer confidence is reflected across all political parties, indicating uncertainty in the economic outlook

The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index fell to a seven-month low, with inflation expectations rising significantly

U.S. one-year inflation expectations rebounded to 4.3%, reaching a 15-month high, which weakened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. The S&P 500 index fell by 0.4%, the Dow Jones dropped by 0.25%, and the Nasdaq decreased by 0.81%. The yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds surpassed 4.5%, while the two-year Treasury yield also rose to 4.27%. Spot gold increased by approximately 0.9%

The one-year inflation expectations in the United States rebounded to above 4%, reaching a one-month high, weakening the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari stated that the U.S. labor market is cooling but remains robust, and he expects interest rates to moderately decline by 2025. He noted that although job growth in January was below expectations, the unemployment rate fell to 4%, and wage growth remains resilient. Kashkari takes a cautious stance on future interest rate policies, believing that more policy information is needed. He anticipates that the federal funds rate will moderately decline before the end of this year

Federal Reserve's Kashkari: The U.S. labor market is cooling but remains robust; interest rates may be slightly lowered in 2025

After the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report, industry ETFs generally declined. Regional bank ETFs fell by 0.78%, bank sector ETFs dropped by 0.72%, and consumer discretionary ETFs decreased by 0.26%. In contrast, global technology stock index ETFs and semiconductor ETFs rose by more than 0.7%, technology sector ETFs increased by over 0.8%, and internet stock index ETFs climbed by about 0.9%

U.S. stock market opening situation: The S&P 500 index opened down 0.01%, reporting 6083.13 points; the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened up 0.03%, reporting 44762.57 points; the Nasdaq Composite index opened down 0.09%, reporting 19774.87 points. In terms of individual stocks, Amazon fell 2.7%, NVIDIA rose 0.4%, Pinterest rose 21%, and Tesla fell 0.8%. Chinese concept stocks performed well, with Li Auto rising over 6%, Alibaba and Bilibili rising over 4%, XPeng rising over 2%, and the Chinese concept ETF YINN rising 5.8%

U.S. stock market opens: The three major indices are roughly flat, and the China concept index rises by 1.6%

The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index's increase expanded to 2.7%, with popular Chinese concept stocks like Li Auto rising 6.99%, ETF YINN up 6.92%, Alibaba increasing over 5.8%, Bilibili rising about 5.2%, New Oriental up over 3.1%, and XPeng, Nio, Baidu, JD.com, NetEase, Pinduoduo, and Fangduoduo rising up to 2.6%

The China Concept Index rose by 2.7%, Li Auto increased by about 7%, YINN rose over 5.9%, and Alibaba rose by about 6%

Canada's unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 6.6% in January, indicating signs of recovery in the job market. Although the addition of 76,000 jobs was below expectations, it exceeded market expectations for two consecutive months. The total number of unemployed remains around 1.5 million, indicating that the market still faces challenges. The Bank of Canada's interest rate cuts are driving growth in business activity and consumer spending, but future economic growth still faces challenges from U.S. tariffs and a decrease in immigration. Following the release of the employment data, the Canadian dollar rose slightly, and market expectations for the central bank's interest rate cuts were adjusted

Canada's unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, showing signs of recovery in the job market

Bitcoin rose over 3%, returning to the psychological threshold of $100,000 after the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report

SoftBank is expected to invest $40 billion in OpenAI, valuing the latter at $260 billion. (CNBC) Risk warning and disclaimer: The market has risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment goals, financial situation, or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their specific circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own risk

SoftBank is expected to invest $40 billion in OpenAI, valuing the latter at $260 billion. (CNBC)

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report shows that non-farm employment increased by 143,000 in January, lower than the expected 170,000 and down from December's 307,000. Although the Los Angeles wildfires and severe winter weather did not significantly impact employment, January's wage growth was 4.1%, up from 3.9% in December. The unemployment rate remained at 4.0%. Overall, the labor market is slowing but remains healthy, continuing to drive economic growth, which may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy

Mixed signals from the U.S. January non-farm payrolls, will the Federal Reserve continue to observe?

Haitong Securities submitted an application for voluntary termination of listing of its A-shares to the Shanghai Stock Exchange on February 7, 2025, officially bidding farewell to the A-share market. At the same time, Guotai Junan Securities announced that its A-shares would resume trading on February 10, 2025, marking a new phase in the merger process of the two brokerages. This merger has lasted five months since the suspension announcement on September 5, 2024, involving multiple administrative license applications and shareholder meeting reviews, becoming the largest merger case in the history of financial institutions in Shanghai

Goodbye, Haitong; Guotai Junan, see you next week

U.S. stock index futures remained unchanged, with Nasdaq futures down 0.09%, S&P 500 down 0.06%, and Dow Jones up 0.02%. The U.S. non-farm payrolls in January were 143,000, lower than the expected 170,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.0%. The market is concerned about the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate cuts, and poor performance in tech stocks has led to over $10 billion in outflows from U.S. stocks

U.S. Stock Market Outlook | U.S. January Non-Farm Payrolls Miss Expectations, Unemployment Rate Unexpectedly Declines, Alibaba Denies Investment Rumors in DeepSeek

In January, the non-farm employment population in the United States was 143,000, lower than the expected 170,000, marking a new low since October of last year; the unemployment rate was 4.0%, below the expected 4.1%. European Central Bank officials stated that U.S. tariffs would not immediately lead to interest rate cuts. In terms of individual stocks, Alibaba's gains narrowed to 3%, Tesla's sales fell by 11.5%, Blackstone acquired AI Fire, Pinterest's revenue surpassed $1 billion for the first time, and Amazon plans to increase capital expenditures to $100 billion by 2025

Daily US Stock Market News Briefing (February 7, Friday)

According to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, on the last trading day (February 6, the day before the non-farm payroll report), the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) was reported at 4.36%, up from 4.33% the previous day. The effective federal funds rate on the last trading day was reported at 4.33%, unchanged from the previous day

Microsoft's stock has faced a decline of over 5% due to scrutiny over its AI investments and lower-than-expected revenue guidance despite beating earnings expectations. However, the company's cloud business is thriving, with a 19% revenue increase and a 157% jump in AI services revenue. Microsoft has a robust future revenue pipeline with $298 billion in remaining performance obligations and plans to increase infrastructure spending. Analysts expect earnings growth to accelerate, making it a potential buying opportunity for investors as the stock trades at 33 times earnings, in line with the Nasdaq-100 index.

Is Microsoft Stock a Buy Now?

In January, the United States added 143,000 non-farm jobs, and the unemployment rate fell to 4%. The European Central Bank's Vice President expects inflation to approach 2% in spring. The Reserve Bank of India cut interest rates for the first time and lowered its GDP forecast. Alibaba denied the news of a $1 billion investment in DeepSeek. Amazon's stock price fell over 3%, with first-quarter earnings guidance falling short of expectations. Xiaomi Corporation's Hong Kong stock reached a historical high, and Lei Jun is researching ways to increase automotive production capacity. The Nikkei 225 index fell by 0.7%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.01%, and the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.16%

Global news you need to know before the U.S. stock market opens on Friday

The revised U.S. non-farm payroll data for December shows that last year's labor market was not as vibrant as previously expected. Against this backdrop, employment growth in the U.S. slowed in January. The Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that the wildfires in Los Angeles and the severe winter weather in other parts of the U.S. had "no significant impact" on employment for the month

Quick Review of U.S. Non-Farm Data

After the release of the U.S. January non-farm payroll data, U.S. stock index futures fell in the short term, with Nasdaq futures down 0.18%, S&P 500 down 0.11%, and Dow Jones down 0.02%. The yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds rose by more than 4 basis points, reported at 4.481%. The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.3%, and the increase in spot gold prices fell to 0.11%

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Nissan and Honda "flash divorce" in two months

The unemployment rate in the United States for January is 4%, expected to be 4.1%, and the previous value was 4.1%. Risk warning and disclaimer: The market has risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment goals, financial situation, or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their specific circumstances. Investment based on this is at one's own risk

In January, the non-farm payroll employment in the United States increased by 143,000, with an expectation of 175,000 and a previous value of 256,000

Investors net sold $10.71 billion in U.S. stock funds as Trump's tariffs and poor performance of tech stocks heightened market unease. This marks the largest single-week sell-off since December 2024. Meanwhile, Asian and European funds attracted inflows of $4.86 billion and $1.88 billion, respectively. Despite large-cap stock funds facing outflows of $6.44 billion, sector funds still attracted inflows of $1.2 billion. Bond funds also saw favor for the fifth consecutive week, attracting $9.22 billion in funds

"Blood is flowing endlessly"! Tariff storm + technology stock "performance kill" over 10 billion USD funds flee from US stocks

JPMorgan Chase analyzed the impact of the upcoming U.S. January non-farm payroll data on the stock market, believing that the data needs to be moderate to support a rise in the stock market. If new jobs are below 150,000, the stock market will decline; if they exceed 230,000, it may increase pressure on interest rate hike expectations. The expected new jobs are 150,000, below market expectations. The S&P 500 index has risen 3.4% this year, but still lags behind global indices. The JPMorgan Chase team recommends buying on dips and is optimistic about the U.S. stock market in the long term

How much impact will tonight's non-farm payroll have on the US stock market? Morgan Stanley presents 5 scenarios

Recently, consumer phenomena have shown abnormal changes, with some viewpoints attributing this to economic reasons or the disappearance of dividends. In the 2024 Christmas season, box office revenues for cinemas saw a significant decline, but the Spring Festival film "Nezha 2" achieved great success, demonstrating that high-quality content can still attract audiences. At the same time, leading marinated food companies experienced a decline in net profits, while HEYTEA expanded rapidly. The collectibles market is quiet, yet the Dafen Oil Painting Village in Shenzhen remains busy. These changes reflect a societal shift from a TO B culture to a TO C culture, where consumption is no longer about proving success to others, but rather about personal satisfaction in life

"Downgrading" and "Upgrading" Coexist? Behind Some New Consumption Phenomena

Amazon's stock fell 5% in pre-market trading despite strong Q4 earnings, as Q1 guidance disappointed investors. CEO Andy Jassy cited capacity constraints affecting growth. Pinterest reported a record $1 billion revenue quarter, with positive user growth and partnerships. Big Tech is set to invest over $320 billion in AI infrastructure in 2025. The upcoming jobs report will provide insights into the labor market's health, with expectations of a slowdown in hiring. Investors are advised to monitor the unemployment rate closely for potential Federal Reserve policy changes.

Breakfast News: Amazon Posts A Mixed Bag

The Bank of England hints at economic growth risks, and institutional investors are increasing their short positions on the pound. Institutions like Baillie Gifford are reducing their holdings in the pound, and RBC BlueBay believes that interest rate cut expectations will further depress the pound. The pound fell 1.2% after the interest rate cut, performing the worst. Predictions indicate that economic growth will be halved, and the market expects more interest rate cuts. A Pictet investment manager stated that long-term demand for the pound is difficult to recover, and further interest rate cuts are needed to address economic risks

The Bank of England hints at economic growth risks, institutions increase short positions on the pound

There are reports that Alibaba plans to invest $1 billion in DeepSeek to acquire a 10% stake, but insiders at Alibaba have called it "fake news." Due to the ongoing shortage of computing power, some believe it is time for DeepSeek to seek investors, especially since DeepSeek is a rare case that has not yet completed its first round of financing and is catching up with OpenAI's large model enterprises at a lower cost

Is a $1 billion investment in DeepSeek? Alibaba denies

The article argues that it's time to sell Apple stock due to stagnant iPhone sales and a lack of growth. Despite a strong brand, Apple's stock trades at a premium valuation compared to the market, while its financial performance is average. The author suggests that there are better investment opportunities available, highlighting companies like Nvidia and Meta Platforms that offer stronger growth at more reasonable prices. Additionally, owning an S&P 500 index fund already provides significant exposure to Apple, making further investment in the company unnecessary.

It's Time to Sell Apple Stock. Here's Why.

State Street Global Advisors strategists indicate that European bonds are expected to perform well in 2023 due to the U.S. threat of tariffs, with the European Central Bank anticipated to lower interest rates from 2.75% to 1.5%. This rate cut will drive European bonds higher relative to U.S. Treasuries and may lead to the euro-to-dollar exchange rate returning to parity. Although Trump agreed to suspend tariffs on Canada and Mexico, State Street Global's research director believes that the threat of tariffs against the EU will persist

State Street Global Advisors: U.S. tariffs may lead to significant interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank, European bonds are set to soar

Regarding the rumors circulating about Alibaba's investment in DeepSeek, an insider from Alibaba told Wall Street Insight that this is false information. (All Weather Technology)

Alibaba responds to investment in DeepSeek, stating: false news

U.S. pre-market Chinese concept stocks generally rose, with Alibaba and Li Auto up nearly 7%. European stocks were mixed, with the German DAX index slightly up, while the French CAC40 and the UK FTSE 100 indices fell slightly. U.S. Treasury yields rose, the U.S. dollar index edged higher, and spot gold increased. Market risks require caution, and investment advice should consider individual circumstances

Before the non-farm payrolls, popular Chinese concept stocks in the U.S. pre-market rose, with Alibaba up nearly 7%. European stocks were mixed, while gold and the U.S. dollar rose

Apple is entering the generative AI market with its new initiative, Apple Intelligence, aimed at enhancing user experience across its devices. This technology allows for intuitive decision-making and personalized assistance, positioning Apple to potentially lead in consumer-facing generative AI. Despite ambitious plans, iPhone revenue growth has stagnated, with a 4.1% decline in shipments last quarter. CEO Tim Cook emphasizes ongoing investment in innovation to make Apple devices indispensable for consumers.

Here's How Generative AI Factors Into Apple's Plan for Growth

Citigroup released a report stating that despite risks such as high interest rates and doubts about AI investments, growth themes will still lead the U.S. stock market in 2025. Despite market volatility, growth stocks have outperformed value stocks, and Citigroup's thematic investment portfolio has performed well. Citigroup advises investors to balance allocations among growth, cyclical, and defensive themes, and to remain patient amid market uncertainty, focusing on incremental alpha opportunities

Under the shadow of volatility, has the style of U.S. stocks changed dramatically? Citigroup declares: The growth theme will "steadily hold the C position" in 2025

Recently, global markets have fluctuated due to adjustments in the "Tariff 2.0" policy, affecting the prices of various assets. DFZQ analysis points out that the exchange rate has reacted most significantly, especially with the depreciation of the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso. The U.S. stock market and non-U.S. stock markets have shown negative feedback to trade frictions, while the Chinese market remains relatively resilient. In the bond market, the flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve reflects stagflation risks. Analysts believe that in the short term, it may be worth considering continuing to go long on volatility

The significance of Tariff 2.0 on asset prices

DeepSeek suddenly suspended API service recharges due to "server resource constraints," raising external speculation about its insufficient computing power. Analysts believe that DeepSeek may struggle to meet the growing demand, and if this situation continues, DeepSeek may have to follow OpenAI's approach and increase investment in infrastructure

Institution: DeepSeek will drive a multiple increase in total computing power demand

Not long ago, Musk stated at the earnings conference that Tesla's humanoid robot business could earn $10 trillion and may be more profitable than their electric vehicles in the future. This time, it might not just be a pipe dream. In a recently released research report, Morgan Stanley also claimed that humanoid robots will be one of the biggest technology investment themes in the next decade, with a potential market size of up to $60 trillion, comparable to the total global economy. So the question arises, who can stand out in this competition? Analysts at Morgan Stanley provided their answers

Humanoid robots are booming! How to divide the $60 trillion "cake"?

At the close of the Hong Kong stock market, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.16%, the Hang Seng TECH Index rose by 1.80%, KINGDEE INT'L rose by 14.84%, and BLACK SESAME rose by 37.59%