In 1996, countries did not comply with monetary policy, leading to a debt-driven bull market.
In 2003, the SARS outbreak triggered economic stimulus.
In 2007, US financial companies experienced subprime mortgage bankruptcies.
In 2013, the Federal Reserve exited unconventional quantitative easing monetary policy.
$NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US) is repeating the same pattern as in 1996, 2003, 2007, and 2013.
Here are the outcomes for those years:
• 2003: +42.8%
• 1996: +40.2%
• 2013: +30.8%
• 2007: +18.5%
2026 so far: +12.7% year-to-date. In each analogy, the second half of the year is where the real surge happens.
If these patterns repeat, the NASDAQ has the potential to end 2026 between +18% and +43%.
There is still plenty of time left. Earnings reports, the Federal Reserve, and geopolitics will determine which analogy we are closest to. But historically, the path from now on has always favored bulls.
Not investment advice 🤣🤣🤣
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