$Tesla(TSLA.US)

Let's get to the conclusion first, I'm bullish tonight.

Personally, I think Tesla will have an independent run, but we need to wait for more signals from the market to confirm. For example, huge orders absorbing shares at 418-420, resistance orders at 430 being instantly eaten up upon breakthrough, etc. This is to confirm the certainty of capital's expectations for Tesla. However, we still need to be careful of being dragged down by the broader market. If the market rises tonight and Tesla also rises, then I believe the independent run of 5-7 consecutive days of gains will occur after Wall Street's big money, in coordination with the Fed's headline news, finishes squeezing liquidity to support the dollar (after all, the dollar has fallen quite a bit recently). So we still need to control option positions. The worse the economy, the faster the pace of short-term trading by capital. If you greedily chase a few dollars of price difference, it will immediately turn your profitable position into a losing one.

Tesla levels: 418-420 support, 428-433 target.

I also said yesterday that the maximum upside couldn't reach 430, only 425-428, and the closing price perfectly met expectations. Today, we also can't expect a 4-5% gain, so 428-433 is already a relatively high expectation. After the opening gap-up, if it falls below 418, start a 15-35 minute grind before entering with a small position. If it breaks below 418 and the downward momentum doesn't weaken, and many aggressive short orders suddenly appear during the session, leave immediately / reverse to puts. There's still some uncertainty with tonight's CPI data. Currently, it seems everyone is betting on a surprise positive outcome.

$Proshares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ.US)

The broader market will have a short-term pullback, support is around 50.3 (combined with news, it will likely be a sharp drop. If TQQQ continues to rise by more than 3 points today, there's a high probability of a big drop on Thursday and Friday).

Levels: 43-48, enter blindly with 1/3 or 1/4 of your position.

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