After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points and confirmed the start of a rate-cutting cycle, China's policy space has finally opened up. The last rebound opportunity for Chinese concept stocks this year, as previously mentioned by Dolphin Research, has arrived.

In addition to the rare combination of interest rate and reserve requirement ratio cuts, as well as measures to address high mortgage rates for homeowners who bought at peak prices by further reducing existing mortgage rates, the real surprises were the policies targeting listed companies (CNY 300 billion, with the central bank lending to banks at 1.75% and banks lending to listed companies at 2.25%) and the tools for banks, insurers, and securities firms to borrow funds for stock purchases (CNY 500 billion). These policies are purely aimed at boosting the stock market.

For example, the swap facility for banks, insurers, and securities firms allows these institutions to use their holdings of stocks/ETFs as collateral with the central bank to obtain funds for further stock and ETF purchases, creating a cycle until the facility's quota is exhausted.

This isn't just about the quota (especially since the central bank has indicated it can increase the quota), but more about the fact that short sellers now face a central bank with unlimited firepower, which has a significant deterrent effect on short selling.

The loan tool for listed companies to repurchase and increase holdings also positively encourages companies to step up buybacks, sending a clear warning to short sellers.

Other deterrent measures include the possibility of further cuts to the reserve requirement ratio by 25-50 basis points and the potential for additional quotas if the swap facility proves effective.

These policies clearly demonstrate that, with the Fed's rate cuts easing pressure on the yuan's exchange rate, China's monetary policy space has expanded. The rapid joint action by China's three major financial regulators reflects an obvious intent to rescue the market, with a pronounced deterrent effect on short sellers.

In terms of results, one visible outcome is that Chinese concept stocks (which generally have ample cash but are undervalued) have seen short sellers genuinely spooked under this policy onslaught, helping valuations rebound from extreme pessimism. This is what Dolphin Research referred to as the last opportunity for China's overseas assets amid the Fed's rate cuts.

However, after this rebound, sustained fundamental improvement still depends on demand recovery. What's really needed here is fiscal policy, with monetary policy playing a supporting role. The direction and scale of fiscal policy will likely only become clear after December's economic conference. In the short term, the momentum of the monetary policy-driven rally in the latter half will hinge on October's consumption performance.

$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US)