Serenity
2026.04.18 18:17

Just some TLDRs to save you time:

1. $ASML(ASML.US), $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.

2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad.

3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $Tesla(TSLA.US) AI Chips.

4. $United Microelectronics(UMC.US) = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr.

5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy.

6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) needs to say this.

7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later.

8. "Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs"

I went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion. (cowos, sip, optical).

Source: Serenity

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