📊 FED SEPTEMBER FORECASTS (SEP 17, 2025)
The Fed cut rates 25 bps to 4.00–4.25% and signaled two more cuts in 2025. New projections show:Fed Funds Rate (year-end):• 2025: 3.675% (vs 3.875% prior)• 2026: 3.375% (unchanged)• 2027: 3.125% (vs 3.375% prior)• 2028: 3.125% (first forecast)• Longer run: 3.125% (vs 3.00% prior)Inflation (PCE):• 2025: 3.0% (unchanged)• 2026: 2.6% (up from 2.4%)• 2027: 2.1% (steady)• 2028: 2.0% (first forecast)Core PCE:• 2025: 3.1% (unchanged)• 2026: 2.6% (up from 2.4%)• 2027: 2.1% (slightly down from 2.3%)• 2028: 2.0% (first forecast)GDP Growth:• 2025: 1.6% (up from 1.4%)• 2026: 1.8% (up from 1.6%)• 2027: 1.9% (up from 1.8%)• 2028: 1.8% (first forecast)Unemployment Rate:• 2025: 4.5% (unchanged)• 2026: 4.4% (down from 4.5%)• 2027: 4.3% (down from 4.4%)• 2028: 4.2% (first forecast)The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.
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