Walter Bloomberg
2025.09.17 17:05

📉 KALSHI PREDICTION MARKET FOR FED DECISION TODAY PASSES $85 MILLION IN VOLUME

Lack of forward guidance in the press conference?

All analysts expect the Fed to cut by 25bp in September, with two exceptions:

🔸 Standard Chartered

🔸 Societe Generale

Markets on Kalshi are pricing the Fed’s move with near certainty:

🔸~92% odds of a 25bp cut

🔸~7% odds of a cut larger than 25bp

🔸~3% odds the Fed holds steady

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