Walter Bloomberg
2025.08.21 11:04

📊 FED SEPTEMBER DECISION — THE MARKET IS SHIFTING

Prediction markets Kalshi now show:

•✅ 25bps cut → 68%, but trending down

•⚖ Hold rates → 34%, and rising steadily

•🔻 Cut >25bps → 4%, stable near zero

Over the past two weeks, confidence in a September cut has softened, while bets on the Fed holding steady have climbed.

👉 Traders are clearly starting to hedge against a “wait-and-see” Fed, even though a 25bps cut is still the base case.

  • 0

The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.

The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not reflect the stance of the platform. The content is intended for investment reference purposes only and shall not be considered as investment advice. Please contact us if you have any questions or suggestions regarding the content services provided by the platform.