Gary Black Tracker
2025.07.01 19:15

Tomorrow’s $Tesla(TSLA.US) 2Q deliveries could be a “buy the news” event, given low expectations going into the release. That said, I believe TSLA will miss expectations (my est 370K -17% YoY vs WS 385K -13% YoY), but I’m not sure it matters as everyone is focused on if and when TSLA robotaxi can scale, given that the Austin test still had a safety driver in the passenger seat and there were a few disengagements.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) -25% YTD vs NDX +7% so market already knows 2Q deliveries will be bad, plus Omead Afshar’s departure right before quarter end confirmed it.

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