Gary Black Tracker
2025.06.03 06:48

$Tesla(TSLA.US) May Europe registrations continue to show significant YoY declines, despite seemingly ample new Model Y Juniper inventories. The exception was Norway, which posted a +213% YoY increase propelled by surging EV adoption. Overall, we forecast a -31% YoY decline in May EU registrations following the -49% YoY decline in April and -37% YoY decline in 1Q.

TSLA May YoY % declines by market where registrations are already reported:

- France -67%

- Portugal -68%

- Netherlands -36%

- Sweden -54%

- Spain -29%

- Belgium -47%

- Hungary -27%

- Denmark -31%

- Norway +213% (EV adoption continues to increase, reaching 93% in May)

The most likely reason for the continuation of weak Jan-April sales into May is TSLA brand taint associated with Elon’s right-leaning political rhetoric and DOGE activity. For those who suggest the lack of Model Y Juniper inventory is the main source of weakness, please note there is plenty of Model Y Juniper inventory available in Europe for sale on Tesla's website at a premium vs old Model Y inventory. You can scroll down here:

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