Jensen Huang Doubled Nvidia's Own Sales Forecast to $1 Trillion Through 2027. Here's What That Guidance Means for the Stock's Valuation.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang doubled the company's sales forecast to $1 trillion through 2027, citing the 'inference inflection' and demand for Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips. To support this growth, Huang partnered with major financial firms like Goldman Sachs and BlackRock to finance AI infrastructure. Despite current fiscal year revenue estimates falling short of $500 billion, analysts believe Nvidia's valuation remains justified as AI compute becomes a marketable asset, suggesting continued stock appreciation.
Nvidia (NVDA -0.06%) has been gaining momentum recently. Shares have surged more than 12% since the start of August. The move has brought Nvidia's market cap back to $5.5 trillion, just 4% below its all-time high.
Investors are piling back into Nvidia stock as they begin to believe what CEO Jensen Huang has been saying. Some may have thought his predictions about artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending were exaggerated, but now Huang is steering it toward reality.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. Image source: Nvidia.
From $500 billion to $1 trillion
At Nvidia's GTC conference in March, Huang said he sees at least $1 trillion in revenue from Nvidia's next-generation AI chip platform and systems through 2027. That's twice the demand he saw last year, thanks to what he called the arrival of the inference inflection. Nvidia's core advanced Blackwell and Vera Rubin chip architectures satisfy that demand.
Even his previous $500 billion revenue prediction was hard to wrap one's thoughts around. To predict sales of at least $1 trillion through next year seems incomprehensible. But Jensen Huang is proving to be uniquely capable of laying the groundwork for those massive investments.
On Aug. 10, Huang revealed that he brought together the leaders of six of the largest global financial firms to form a partnership to finance AI compute infrastructure and attract more than $500 billion in external capital. Huang's premise is that computing power is becoming a marketable asset, and Nvidia has the tools to drive the market higher.
NASDAQ: NVDA
Key Data Points
Financing the boom
The agreements consist of memoranda of understanding (MOUs) with firms such as Goldman Sachs, KKR, and BlackRock, and their implications are significant. Jensen Huang's comment below should help show investors how valuable Nvidia is, and why its stock can keep rising from here. Huang stated:
Nvidia has reached an important milestone. We began by building chips; today, we are helping create a new class of productive, investable infrastructure: AI factories. In AI, compute is revenue. Nvidia compute is uniquely suited for this role.
To be clear, Nvidia likely won't even reach $500 billion in revenue this year. It may get close, though, with the company's fiscal year ending in late January. For fiscal Q2, due to be reported later this month, the company estimates revenue of around $91 billion, about 11.5% higher than Q1. Even if sales continue to increase 12% sequentially quarter to quarter, Nvidia will still report revenue just shy of $400 billion this fiscal year.
But as AI infrastructure growth continues to accelerate, next year should easily surpass $500 billion, and $1 trillion in annual revenue is realistically in sight. Nvidia shares don't trade at an unrealistic multiple now. The stock should continue to move higher along with sales and earnings.
It's not too late to ride that move higher with the AI leader.
