Experts: The RMB exchange rate may run strong in the short term

華爾街見聞
2025.08.26 23:05
據證券日報，東方金誠首席宏觀分析師王青預計，短期內人民幣匯率還會處於偏強運行狀態。長期來看，國際方面，伴隨美聯儲恢復降息以及關税政策對美國經濟衝擊逐步顯現，美元指數還將承受一定下行壓力；但上半年美元跌幅巨大，後期也會有較強的抗跌韌性。國內方面，外部波動對我國出口的影響或逐步顯現，而逆週期調節政策加碼將確保經濟運行基本穩定，這方面有充足的政策空間。由此，接下來人民幣對美元匯率仍將以穩為主，持續升值或大幅貶值的風險都不大。
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