Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Slips, Dow Futures Rise—Intel, Palo Alto, Home Depot In Focus

Benzinga
2025.08.19 09:44
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U.S. stock futures showed mixed results following a mixed close on Monday, with the S&P 500 slipping slightly. Investors are focused on upcoming earnings reports from major retailers like Home Depot and Target. The 10-year Treasury bond yield is at 4.33%, with an 83.1% chance of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Notable stock movements include Intel rising 6.42% after a $2 billion investment from SoftBank, while Riskified shares fell 16% post-earnings. Analysts report strong second-quarter earnings growth, particularly in technology and communication sectors, driven by AI investments.

U.S. stock futures were fluctuating on Tuesday following a mixed close on Monday. Futures of major benchmark indices were mixed.

President Donald Trump expressed readiness to host a trilateral meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to end the three-year-long war in Ukraine.

Meanwhile, investors will focus on the earnings from top U.S. retailers, including Home Depot Inc. HD today, Target Corp. TGT on Wednesday and Walmart Inc. WMT on Thursday.

The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.33% and the two-year bond was at 3.76%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing an 83.1% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting the current interest rates for the Sept. 17 decision.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF QQQ, which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were mixed in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.023% at $643.15, while the QQQ advanced 0.0052% to $577.14, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Trending Investment Opportunities

Cues From Last Session

Sectors recording the biggest losses on Monday included real estate, communication services, and materials, though industrials and consumer discretionary stocks bucked the trend to close higher.

The session followed a week of gains for major indices, where the Dow rose 1.74%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed 0.94% and 0.81%, respectively.

In company-specific news, shares of Riskified Ltd. RSKD plunged 16% after releasing second-quarter results. On the economic data front, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August slipped to 32, down from 33 in July and below market estimates of 34.

The Dow Jones index ended 34 points or 0.076% lower at 44,911.82, whereas the S&P 500 index fell 0.010% to 6,449.15. Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.031% to 21,629.77, and the small-cap gauge, Russell 2000, tumbled 0.35% to end at 2,294.47.

Insights From Analysts

According to LPL Financial, the second-quarter earnings season has delivered powerful results that met some of the highest expectations. The report, authored by Chief Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbinder, highlights that corporate America has demonstrated remarkable resilience despite trade uncertainty and rising cost pressures.

This performance marks a significant shift from the first quarter, which was more “muddied by tariff uncertainty”. LPL Research notes several impressive achievements for the second quarter:

  • S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) growth is on track for nearly 12%, more than double the sub-5% consensus estimate from June 30.
  • Revenue for the S&P 500 grew by 6.3%, which was over 2% higher than quarter-end expectations.
  • A strong 81% of companies beat EPS estimates, surpassing the five-year average of 78%.
  • The communication services, technology, and financials sectors produced the fastest earnings growth.

A key driver for this success was continued investment in artificial intelligence by mega-cap technology companies. The “Magnificent Seven” companies delivered nearly 30% earnings growth, and their planned capital expenditures are expected to boost productivity across many sectors.

While companies have so far managed tariff effects through cost cuts, price adjustments, and AI-driven efficiencies, LPL expects more cost pressures in the coming months. In its outlook, LPL’s Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) maintains a neutral stance on equities, citing that significant optimism is already priced into stock valuations. The committee continues to favor large-cap growth stocks and prefers the communication services and financials sectors.

Upcoming Economic Data

Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on Tuesday;

  • July’s housing starts and building permits data will be out by 8:30 a.m. ET.

Stocks In Focus

  • Intel Corp. INTC jumped 6.42% in premarket on Tuesday as SoftBank Group agreed to invest $2 billion in the company. Additionally, the Trump administration is considering acquiring a 10% stake in the chipmaker.
  • Palo Alto Networks Inc. PANW climbed 5.58% after reporting better-than-expected financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 and issuing strong guidance for fiscal 2026 after the market closed on Monday.
  • Graphjet Technology GTI popped 34.32% as its shareholders approved a share consolidation plan, selecting a 1-for-60 ratio for both issued and unissued ordinary shares.
  • Laser Photonics Corp. LASE surged 63.01% following its second-quarter earnings report, which showed a 317% year-over-year revenue increase.
  • Fabrinet FN dropped 10.02% despite reporting upbeat fourth-quarter financial results for fiscal 2025 on Monday. This comes as it expects fiscal first-quarter revenue to be in the range of $910 million to $950 million, versus estimates of $916.72 million.
  • Home Depot Inc. HD was up 0.45% as it is expected to report earnings before the opening bell. Analysts estimate earnings of $4.69 per share on revenue of $45.31 billion.
  • Keysight Technologies Inc. KEYS was 0.049% above the flat line as analysts expect it to report earnings of $1.67 per share on revenue of $1.32 billion after the closing bell.
  • Toll Brothers Inc. TOL was 0.17% higher as it is expected to report earnings after the closing bell. Analysts estimate earnings of $3.60 per share on revenue of $2.86 billion.
  • Viking Therapeutics Inc. VKTX rose 5.73% over the speculation that Eli Lilly & Co. LLY might be considering acquiring the firm after its 40-year bond issuance.

Commodities, Gold, And Global Equity Markets

Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 1.16% to hover around $61.97 per barrel.

Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.17% to hover around $3,338.44 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $3,500.33 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.12% lower at the 98.0530 level.

Asian markets ended lower on Tuesday, except the S&P BSE Sensex index. Hong Kong's Hang Seng, South Korea's Kospi, China’s CSI 300, Japan's Nikkei 225, and Australia's ASX 200 indices fell. European markets were higher in early trade.

  • Eli Lilly Considering Viking Therapeutics Acquisition? Expert Says ‘They’re Setting Up For Something BIG’ As LLY Issues 40-Year Bond

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