Morgan Stanley: Remains bullish on the yen, as weak U.S. data reduces the attractiveness of arbitrage trades

Wallstreetcn
2025.08.05 00:11

Morgan Stanley stated that the Bank of Japan is dovish while the Federal Reserve is showing hawkish signs, which has sparked a new round of speculation about yen arbitrage trades during the summer holiday. However, the situation may reverse in light of weak U.S. non-farm payroll data. It noted, "Given the strong performance of USD/JPY relative to its implied fair value, we believe there is still ample room for USD/JPY to decline." It maintains a short position on USD/JPY at 147.70, targeting 135, with a revised stop-loss at 151