The economist survey in the first half of the year shows: Economic expectations improved in the second quarter, and the asset allocation value of China continues to rise

Recently, the Securities Times launched a "2025 First Half Economist Questionnaire Survey," with respondents including authoritative economists from government departments, research institutions, and well-known universities. The survey results show that over 80% of respondents believe that the economic growth rate in the second quarter will not be lower than 5%, with 48.3% of respondents expecting it to be in the range of 5.0% to 5.2%. Respondents believe that consumer sentiment will continue to stabilize in the second half of the year with policy support, while the sales heat in the real estate market may decline; they are optimistic about the resilience of the stock and foreign exchange markets in the third quarter. Respondents believe that the impact of the results of the China-U.S. economic and trade negotiations on the Chinese economy is controllable and suggest further strengthening and expanding the implementation of the old-for-new policy for consumer goods in the second half of the year, including increasing the total quota and including service consumption in the subsidy scope. In addition, respondents generally believe that the development of the Renminbi stablecoin is quite urgent