The economist survey in the first half of the year shows: Economic expectations improved in the second quarter, and the asset allocation value of China continues to rise

華爾街見聞
2025.07.14 22:25

近期，證券時報發起 “2025 年上半年經濟學家問卷調查”，受訪者包括政府部門、研究機構、知名院校等的權威經濟學家。調查結果顯示，超八成受訪者認為二季度經濟增速將不低於 5%，其中 48.3% 的受訪者預計處於 5.0% 至 5.2% 增速區間。受訪者認為下半年消費形勢在政策支持下將繼續企穩，樓市銷售熱度可能下滑；看好股市、匯市在三季度保持韌性。受訪者認為中美經貿談判結果對中國經濟影響可控，建議下半年進一步加力擴圍實施消費品以舊換新政策，包括增加總額度，將服務消費納入補貼範圍等。此外，受訪者普遍認為發展人民幣穩定幣較為緊迫。

Source: 華爾街見聞 The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.
The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not reflect the stance of the platform. The content is intended for investment reference purposes only and shall not be considered as investment advice. Please contact us if you have any questions or suggestions regarding the content services provided by the platform.