Tesla Is 6X More Expensive Than Its Peers And The Most Overvalued Mag 7 Stock: Gordon Johnson Questions Fundamentals As Elon Musk Shrugs Off Concerns

Benzinga
2025.05.21 11:53
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Tesla's stock is currently valued at 158.73 times its projected 2026 earnings, making it 6.16 times more expensive than its industry peers. CEO Elon Musk defends this valuation, stating that stock prices reflect business success. However, Gordon Johnson of GLJ Research argues that high stock prices do not guarantee strong fundamentals, citing past bankruptcies of companies like Enron. Tesla's revenue fell 9% year-over-year, missing estimates, and its shares have seen mixed performance this year. Despite a strong price trend, its value ranking remains low.

Despite the overvalued nature of the stock based on its price-to-earnings metric, Tesla Inc. TSLA’s CEO, Elon Musk, has defended the company’s growth, citing its stock prices, shrugging off the fundamental worries surrounding the carmaker as highlighted by experts.

What Happened: During the Qatar Economic Forum on Monday, Musk highlighted that Tesla’s share price was the measure of its business’s success.

“You can just look at the stock price if you want the best inside information,” he said as per a Yahoo Finance report.

“The stock market analysts have that, and a stock wouldn’t be trading near all-time highs if it was not, if things weren’t in good shape. They’re fine, don’t worry about it.”

According to Benzinga Pro, Tesla shares are trading at a price nearly 158.730 times its 2026 earnings. At the same time, the average forward price-to-earnings of its peers stood at 25.75 times, implying that Tesla was 6.16 times more expensive than its industry's average.

However, Gordon Johnson, the CEO and founder of GLJ Research, countered Musk’s statement with examples. In an X post, he highlighted that “If: high stock price = good underlying business fundamentals, then WorldComm + HealthSouth + Enron + Tyco + etc. would never have gone bankrupt.”

He explained that the stock prices were simply a reflection of a stock’s demand, which could be influenced by factors like CEO comments and pump-and-dump Wall Street analysts.

Taking a dig at the Federal Reserve and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Johnson further stated that the Fed’s purchase of Treasuries by printing money was also a reason for the artificially created demand for stocks.

“Were the Federal Reserve to immediately pull out all the money it printed into existence from COVID, we’d QUICKLY have REAL price discovery in stocks,” he warned.

As of the first quarter, Tesla’s revenue fell 9% year-over-year to $19.34 billion, missing the Street’s consensus estimate of $21.35 billion, and its EPS declined 40% year-over-year to 27 cents, which was below the 31 cents consensus.

Why It Matters: When compared to a few of its industry peers, Tesla had the highest trailing P/E ratio among them.

However, when compared to the forward P/E ratios of the Magnificent 7 stocks, Tesla shares remain the most expensive with the highest ratio of forward price-to-earnings in comparison with its industry average.

TSLA shares were down 9.35% year-to-date, but it has returned by 51.13% just in the last month. The shares were up 84.26% over the year. On Tuesday, it ended 0.51% lower and advanced 0.015% in after-hours and on Wednesday, it was up 0.46%.

Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings shows that Tesla had a stronger price trend over the short, medium, and long term. Its momentum ranking was solid, however, its value ranking was poor at the 8.57th percentile. The details of other metrics are available here.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF QQQ, which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Wednesday. The SPY was down 0.70% to $588.69, while the QQQ declined 0.76% to $516.31, according to Benzinga Pro data.

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