
The plummeting bond market: Is it time to gradually pay attention to the fundamentals?

Shenwan Hongyuan believes that since 2024, the correlation between the bond market's rhythm and the fundamentals has weakened, possibly due to a gradually solidified perception of weak fundamentals. However, in the long run, the core pricing anchor of the bond market still lies in the fundamentals: - Bond market yields can mainly be explained by fundamentals. - Historically, the driving factors for the bond market's transition from bull to bear have mostly been due to fundamental factors
Shenwan Hongyuan believes that since 2024, the correlation between the bond market's rhythm and the fundamentals has weakened, which may be due to a gradually solidified perception of weak fundamentals.
However, in the long run, the core pricing anchor of the bond market still lies in the fundamentals:
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Bond market yields can mainly be explained by fundamentals.
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Historically, the driving factors for the bond market's transition from bull to bear have mostly been due to fundamental factors.