
Citigroup turns optimistic about China, raising GDP growth forecasts for this year and next
Citigroup predicts that both real and nominal growth in China will rebound from the bottom over the next two years, with 2025 potentially being a turning point. The downturn in the real estate market has reached its final stage and will absorb the greatest pain from tariff impacts. It is expected that the negative value of PPI may narrow to around zero in the second half of this year and turn positive in 2026. The contribution of AI+ to China's economic increment is estimated to be around 500 billion RMB in 2025, equivalent to 0.4% of GDP